Saturday, 11 April 2015

Jim Grant: The Fed Will Not Raise Rates In 2015.



  Jim Grants speaks here before the huge miss on Jobs Report. Strong dollar is hurting the revenues of US corporations overseas, they have less cash-flow for the buyback of shares. The earnings reports will be squeezed by the reduced bottom line and inability to reduce the outstanding number of shares without buybacks. Hangover could be very dramatic. Now is the question whether we can see US Dollar printing the Double Top here - Gold is holding quite well, but any meaningful move will come with the clear top in US Dollar parabolic move.




  This parabolic move in US Dollar signifies the most crowded trade - everybody is long US Dollar now. We have record short position in Gold and the next move could be very spectacular. Despite of the rising into the potential Double Top US Dollar Gold was holding well this week and has regained $1,200 level.




Huge Miss On The Jobs Report And Gold - The Parabolic Move In US Dollar Is Over.





  After today's huge miss on The Jobs Report the parabolic move in US Dollar is officially over. With crashing dollar commodities should finally find the bottom. Gold is already printing very strong Double Bottom Reversal, confirming what we had discussed before. Move above $1,310 will bring all the fun back now. Good Friday to everybody who is not short Gold or Euro … Monday will be interesting with Record Short position in Gold.



Gold: Is US Dollar Parabolic Move Over?




  "This is what is called the parabolic move in US Dollar. It has "coincided" with the collapse in Oil and other commodities. You can appreciate the magnitude of this move and the total devastation is has caused in the commodity markets. Is it over now? Everybody is still bullish on dollar, but FED has already scaled back expectations on the rate hike. Immediately we had the dollar flash crash, which is better seen on the daily chart below. Strong dollar is not very good for the recovering US economy, actually FED is in the corner of 18 Trillion debt, All-Time-High markets and the brave idea to hike the rates. Half of the traders maybe have never even seen rising rates in their lives before. What will happen with the market on fire once the oxygen will be going out? I would say that this "removal of patient does not mean that we are impatient" will lead to the very gradual couple of hikes the most. Once the market realise it, this parabolic move will end in the crash. The higher it goes the harder it will go down. When will it happen? I guess that nobody knows, but at least we have the hesitation now, which could be enough for the margin calls on this the most crowded trade after another 5% move down. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."